Prior to the Doha conference the Carbon
Tax Centre reported that Shell, and
Statoil, together with the world’s third largest airline, Cathay Pacific and another 97
multinationals including Unilever, EDF Energy, Braskem, Swiss Re, Ricoh and Skanska signed the Carbon Price
Communiqué. They called on governments to introduce
a price to "drive the investment" needed to deliver substantial
reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. "A price on CO2 can
open the door to increased ambition. Putting a clear, transparent and
unambiguous price on carbon must be a core policy objective," said the
companies . Since that time BP has signed the same communiqué while
Exxon Mobil reconfirmed that they support a carbon tax, A clear explanation was
also given why oil companies demand a global carbon tax in the statement below:
“Big Oil is coming out of the
closet. Exxon Mobil confirmed earlier
this month in a Bloomberg Businessweek article that they support a carbon tax. Shell and BP have signed a Climate Price
Communiqué that was distributed on 29th
November at the eighteenth Conference of the Parties to the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change” .
“The most obvious reason why big oil and
gas companies would support a huge new tax on their own products is that it
would kill coal first. Burning coal emits roughly twice as much carbon
dioxide as producing the same amount of energy by burning natural gas. That
would provide a huge incentive for utilities to switch to natural gas. Exxon Mobil owns the world’s
largest privately-owned reserves of natural gas. Shell and BP also own huge gas reserves.”
Cathay Pacific may look at
efficiency. According to http://downloads.cathaypacific.com/cx/aboutus/sd/2011/operating/climateChange_30yearStory.html their airplanes are quite fuel efficient. It
can be speculated that they would welcome high fuel prices to further enhance
their competitive position until other airlines have obtained more fuel
efficient planes.
From the above it follows that a global
carbon tax would result in substantial GHG reduction for power generation and
air travel without having to encourage it with complex subsidies. Despite all
this good news the carbon tax has been politicised to such extent that the
general public is not aware that many studies have shown that carbon pricing does
not hurt the economy. According to (http://www.sustainableprosperity.ca/dl891&display”
a meta-analysis conducted by the World Bank
reviewed 103 studies
on environmental fiscal reform and employment impacts. The review revealed that
73% of studies showed a positive
influence on employment, 24% showed a negative impact on employment and
the remainder showed no impact on employment. An in-depth European Union study
of the tax shifts undertaken by Denmark, Sweden, Finland, the United Kingdom,
the Netherlands and Germany found that five of the countries experienced modest
economic gains as a consequence of the carbon/energy tax shift while one
country, the United Kingdom, experienced a neutral economic outcome.”
In the US 2
studies showed that the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative covering 10 states
is quite profitable. (see real-world example of carbon pricing benefits
exceeding the costs )For British Columbia, a Canadian province, there
were at least 2 studies. One by the Pembina Institute http://www.pembina.org/media-release/2234 for $20 per ton of CO2 and the
latest by Professor Elgie as reported by
http://www.vancouversun.com/business/carbon+working+reduce+emissions+study/8701325/story.htmlshowing for the present $30 per ton of CO2 .
Both studies show that there is no adverse economic impact. The latter study
shows that the consumption of petroleum products has decreased by 17.4%, while
it rose by 1.5% in the rest of Canada.
In the US and Canada there are organisations publishing figures how much households in
would pay for a national carbon tax, without showing how much households would
get back through lower income taxes and special grants. This has left the impression
that pricing CO2 emissions is a tax grab rather than a tax shift to
make green energy more competitive. In British Columbia all the carbon tax
money has to be refunded to taxpayers and the low income people who pay no
taxes. By law the province has to table an annual plan. ( See http://www.fin.gov.bc.ca/tbs/tp/climate/tax_cuts.htm). It lists in detail how the money collected
was distributed and what the projections are for the next year.
The British Columbia carbon tax system has
been praised by economists in the US and Britain as a perfect example on how
easy it is to implement and administer. It will be copied by Oregon and
Washington States to create the Pacific Coast Collaborative, which includes
California, Alaska, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia. The four states
and one province have a combined population of 53 million people, with a gross
domestic product of $2.8-trillion. The governor of California praised the agreement
as follows: “California introduced a carbon pricing mechanism as part of its
carbon cap-and-trade system.“California isn’t waiting for the rest of the world
before it takes action on climate change.” California Gov. Jerry Brown said in
a statement. “Today, California, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia are
all joining together to reduce greenhouse gases.” For more information see http://business.financialpost.com/2013/10/29/b-c-reaches-carbon-pricing-deal-with-oregon-washington-states/?__lsa=d9c1-179f
Since the above details of the tax
system are not widely known, the public and many politicians still have a negative
opinion about taxing carbon. If all politicians in various countries could get
together and look at all this information with an open mind it would be so much
simpler to implement a healthy global carbon tax as envisaged by 4 major oil
companies, the world’s third largest airline and other major companies . Note
that Unilever is the world's third-largest consumer goods
company. EDF Energy is
an integrated energy company in the United Kingdom, Braskem is a Brazilian petrochemical company.
It is the largest petrochemical company in Latin America and one of the largest
in the world, Swiss
Reinsurance Company Ltd[2] , generally known as Swiss Re, is the world’s second-largest reinsurer, Ricoh
produces electronic products The
company is the largest copier manufacturer in the world. Skanska AB, is
a multinational construction and
development company based in Sweden,
where it also is the largest construction company. Despite all this pressure
from business leaders the politicians keep fighting each other, while nobody
explains how carbon tax works. It can be seen in the following Canadian example:
“Liberal leader Justin Trudeau mused
about "putting a price on carbon pollution" at an address to Calgary’s Petroleum Club.
Subsequently, Conservative MP Ryan Leef stood in the House to make this claim.
“The Liberal leader has lent his support
to the radical NDP centrepiece of irresponsible economic management, whose
$20-billion carbon tax would raise the price on absolutely everything. However,
our government rejects that idea to impose a job-killing carbon tax that would
increase the price on everything, including gas, electricity, and groceries--a
tax on all Canadians.”
He could have added that if the BC
example would be followed, the $ 20 billion would flow straight back to the
taxpayers and the lower income families who don’t pay taxes. That way everybody
can afford to pay for the higher priced goods. He could also have mentioned
that those people who, through car pooling and using bicycles or public transit,
save on fuel, still get reimbursed with the full tax amount of average fuel
consumption, With that extra cash in hand they could invest in a heat pump
system for their house so they can heat it at roughly 1/3 to 1/5 of the customary energy input by
cooling the outside air, soil or groundwater.
{seehttp://www.nrcan.gc.ca/sites/oee.nrcan.gc.ca/files/pdf/publications/infosource/pub/home/heating-heat-pump/booklet.pdf)
{seehttp://www.nrcan.gc.ca/sites/oee.nrcan.gc.ca/files/pdf/publications/infosource/pub/home/heating-heat-pump/booklet.pdf)
The heat is delivered as hot air to the
existing duct system and during the summer the process can be reversed to
provide air conditioning for the entire house. Only electricity for pumps compressors and fans is required. Unless the
power is generated by fossil fuel, there will be zero GHG emission. A heat pump
system like that costs $6000-$9000 (seehttp://www.heatpumppriceguides.com/)
and there is a lot of labour involved. Such green jobs, along with those
created because wind farms, solar fields and tidal power become more competitive,
will certainly compensate the “job killing” mentioned by Mr Leef. Note again that
73% of the 103 studies analysed by the World Bank showed that carbon pricing
has a positive impact on employment.
Without that extra information Mr Leef’s
statement is as misleading as what the powerful Heritage Foundation published
in the US. They claimed that one of the US bills (Waxman-Markey) would cost the
average household $1500 per year while the Congressional Budget Office, the
Environmental Protection Agency and several others showed $150 per year after
accounting for tax cuts and special rebates. That bill would by 2020 have
reduced the GHG emissions to 17% below 2005 levels, as required by the
Copenhagen agreement. $150 per year per
household is a small sacrifice to achieve that much.
No national carbon tax and very high per
capita emissions puts Canada in an awkward position. Environmentalists rank
Canada as # 58 and the US as #43 out of 61 countries based on 5 criteria.
Denmark, Sweden and Portugal are #1,2 and 3
so it is no wonder the Europeans and even Americans want to stop our pipeline projects.
In London the Canadian Prime Minister was met by 30 protest organisations from
both sides of the Atlantic while 6 MPs tabled a motion to keep Canada’s oil
sand products out of Europe.( See UK Tar Sands
Network info@no-tar-sands.org )
The US objection is based on our emissions rising while they go down in the US,
as can be seen in http://www.economist.com/blogs/americasview/2013/08/climate-policy-canada?fsrc=scn/tw_ec/the_land_of_green_and_money
In Copenhagen, Canada and the US both signed an agreement to achieve 2020
emissions at 17% below 2005 levels. The US doubts that we can achieve our
commitment
Insufficient
pipeline capacity means that Canada has to sell it’s oil at bargain prices. In
2013 Alberta’s Energy minister estimated the losses at $20-$30 billion per
year. (See http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industry-news/energy-and-resources/alberta-scans-the-compass-for-crude-oil-export-options/article7536306/
)
This
must have resulted in many billions of lost tax revenue for the federal
government. Those billions could have been used to improve public transit and
fund other green projects. Until a global carbon tax has been established
demand for oil will keep rising and it makes no difference in the world’s GHG
emission whether Canada supplies it or gives the business to other countries. Since
it is dangerous to keep shipping oil by rail we have to look seriously at all
pipeline proposals. There is a lot of technical information about pipelines and
marine transport available on the internet. It is not published in newspapers
and magazines but is essential information to form an opinion about pipeline
projects. Many of the previous disasters were caused by inadequate
instrumentation extreme cost cutting and insufficient oversight. Many details
about pipelines and carbon tax can be found on this blog. Canada hopes to
export oil via 3 additional pipelines. The Northern Gateway is the closest to
proceed. The marine transport has been approved and the pipeline will be
approved when many tricky conditions have been met. The second article in post
1 describes under points 12, 13 and 14 what went wrong with pipelines , what
improvements are contemplated an how much details have as yet to be published
to assure the public that the Northern
Gateway project will be safe. Although Transport Canada approved the marine
transport for the project, little is published about all the tricky operations
and how specific concerns raised at the inquiry have been resolved.
As a
final note it must be recognized that a global carbon tax would allow all
countries to tax their carbon exports without unfair competition. At the present BC tax rate of $30 per ton of
CO2 Canada would cash in another $9 per barrel of oil and $53 - $62
per ton of coal. Oil will in the foreseeable future always be required to power
ships and airplanes, provide chemicals and produce many of our goods.
Metallurgical coal is an essential reduction agent to produce the iron from
which steel is made so that export won’t be lost . Hence Canada will always be
one of the rich countries blessed with carbon resources. Obviously the tax
proceeds from carbon exports have to be shared with countries which have no taxable
carbon but have to live with the rising energy costs and adapt to climate
change. How to achieve this sharing is one of the stumbling blocks at the UN
negotiations.
If
you are concerned about climate change and agree with all or part of the points
above please paste them in an email to Mr Harper, the Canadian Prime Minister at
pm@pm.gc.ca or any
other politician who has to be persuaded to start taxing carbon. Please mention
how important carbon tax is and that it does not hurt the economy.